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Roxanne Cleo
Roxanne Cleo
RE/MAX Gateway · Manassas, VA · License #VA-0225041872 · (703) 555-0192
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Deal Brief  ·  Buy to Rent
July 31, 2026  ·  prelio.ai
9999 Community Dr
Manassas, VA 20109  ·  3 bed  ·  3 bath  ·  1,412 sqft Owner 1 yr 422 DOM  ·  Zip avg 30d Estimate +$13K vs Ask 🔨 Fix & Flip Candidate Offer Score 5.5  ·  Marginal Leverage Score 6.3  ·  Negotiate
Ask Price
$375K
July 31, 2026
This report is based on the current list price
~ Marginal investment case · Negotiate
Monthly Cash Flow
−$277
$2,411 rent vs $1,734 P&I. Cash flow negative before tax, HOA, and CapEx. Rental thesis challenged at this price and rate.
⚠ 54%+ rent growth needed to break even
Seller Leverage
6.3 / 10
422 days on market vs 30-day zip average. 1-year owner. Moderate leverage, negotiate on price and terms.
Negotiate
Day-One Equity
+$13K
Estimate at $388K vs $375K ask. Buying $13K below estimated value. Built-in equity on day one.
$13K below Estimate
Ask Price
$375,000
Down Payment
25%
Interest Rate
6.26%
Monthly P&I
$1,734
Monthly Rent
$2,411
Property Tax
$348/mo
HOA
$79/mo
Estimate
$388,100
Prelio AI  ·  Recommendation
Analysis  ·  Buy to Rent
This property has been on the market for 422 days, about 14 times longer than the typical 30 days in this zip code. The seller bought just a year ago, so they have very little equity built up and a real reason to sell soon, that gives you room to negotiate. The catch: even before setting money aside for repairs and vacancies, monthly cash flow is already negative at the asking price. The upside is the estimated value is $388K, so buying at the recommended offer of $364,500 puts you about $13K below what the property is likely worth on day one. Even at that price, rent doesn't fully cover the mortgage payment, so plan on keeping some cash in reserve. Best thought of as a longer-term hold: rent growth should turn cash flow positive within 18 to 24 months.
Offer Playbook
Floor
$358K
Ceiling
$371K
Recommended Opening Offer
$364,500
2.8% below ask  ·  $10,500 off list
⚠ DSCR 1.07 · Lender Flag
Below 1.25 minimum for investment loans. Difficult to finance as rental property at this price and rate.
To learn more, see what DSCR means.
9999 Community Dr  ·  Buy to Rent  ·  Detail
Prelio Deal Brief  ·  Page 2 of 2
Score Breakdown
5.5
Offer Score  ·  Marginal
Cap Rate
7
CoC Return
1
DSCR
6
GRM
6
Day-1 Equity
6
Net CF
1
 
6.3
Leverage Score  ·  Negotiate
Dom
9
Equity
1
Listing
9
Age
7
Overpricing
1
Cash Flow Analysis  ·  Monthly
Rent / mo
+$2,411
P&I (6.26%, 25% dn, 30yr)
−$1,734
Property Tax
−$348
Insurance
−$94
HOA / mo
−$79
Vacancy (5%)
−$121
CapEx (1%/yr)
−$313
Net CF / mo
−$277
Cash Invested
Down (25%)
$93,750
Closing costs (3%)
$11,250
Total cash in
$105,000
Long-Term Hold  ·  3% Appreciation
Yr 2
Breakeven
Net equity ≥ cash in
$234K
Net equity yr 10
After cash fed in
22.3%
Eff. ann. return
Incl. appreciation
Key Metrics
Cap Rate
4.7%
CoC Return
-3.2%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
13.0×
IRR 5yr
8.2%
Exp Ratio
39.6%
Nearby Active Rentals  ·  Similar Size
8343 Irongate Way, Manassas, VA 20109
1,302 sqft  ·  3bd  ·  0.2 mi
$2,242/mo
10107 Henry Ct, Manassas, VA 20109
1,342 sqft  ·  3bd  ·  1.1 mi
$2,300/mo
8814 Middleburg Ct, Manassas, VA 20109
1,280 sqft  ·  3bd  ·  0.9 mi
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Schools  ·  GreatSchools
West Gate Elementary
Elementary  ·  0.2 mi
1.0/10
Unity Braxton Middle
Middle  ·  0.5 mi
2.0/10
Unity Reed High School
High  ·  1.0 mi
1.0/10
School district avg 1.3/10, Below average. Homes near 7+/10 schools appreciate 1–2% faster annually, a durable factor that makes resale significantly easier.